Skip to main content

Bitcoin Derivatives, CME Futures & Crypto as a Financial Instrument

CME just announced they are going to launch futures contracts for Bitcoin due to strong demand. CME is the largest exchange and this is a big step towards maturity of the Bitcoin market, most likely a lot of liquidity will flow into the futures and some large hedge players are going to make use of Bitcoin as a trading instrument.

Bitcoin can send money directly from person to person across borders and digitally, also you can store your money anywhere, paper or digitally making it the perfect store for money/wealth and the perfect transfer due to it's decentralized protocol and incentive for users to secure the network.

Larger players in the financial markets recognize this too and are always looking for ways to diversify their portfolio, cryptocurrencies are a new asset class and are a great hedge against traditional fiat money. Right now platforms like LedgerX and CME allow for institutions to easily access the Bitcoin market without all the hassle that comes with using the network.

Because of the fixed supply and the hype and the defined intrinsic value of Bitcoin price rallied up to $7600, we saw a large accumulation in 2015 after a tough bear market which caught a lot of new crypto traders off guard. Towards 2016 signs were showing that CFTC was going to approve more products which would lead to the real maturity of the Bitcoin market.

After this everyone will be anticipating an ETF, I think we first have to see liquidity consolidate across the options and futures markets and have to see how this is gonna affect price. Right now the hype is strong and we are reaching levels of irrational exuberance but there's still a lot of opportunity in the altcoin markets. The future is bright for cryptocurrencies as long as we have the US government and it's institutions on our side, luckily Wall Street is always ready to steal money from the naive so time to go all in.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Trader Psychology and the Analysis of Behavior in Financial Markets

Markets are influenced by the speculative behavior of the people that are active in them. For a long time fundamental and technical traders debated what really provided the edge in this battlefield. Recently though there has been a shift in the perception of it's reality, the fields that cover this: behavioral finance & economics. Deciding whether to risk ones money based on information with only the promise of a possible return easily triggers an emotional response and even though our outside brain cortex has given us the power to high cognitive function, science actively seeks out contrary opinions to prevent our observations becoming biased. Analyzing a market works in a similar way, you make an observation which can be anything from a sideways market setting up, to a trend in progress. This observation gives you a signal of opportunity and the decision making process begins.

CBOE launches Bitcoin futures, with volume!

As announced by the CBOE on the 10th their platform launched a Bitcoin futures market, by this move they beat CME and this showed as they instantly had volume. This means the coming weeks gonna be important to watch in the Bitcoin market, the question is if large coin holders are looking to hedge down or that players looking to short the top of the bear market are coming in to cause at least a short term squeeze which could put us again at new highs. What ever is gonna happen the days between now and the end of the year are definitely to be watched for opportunity for the speculator, this also counts for other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and a lot of the altcoins that have been steady accumulating.

A new Crypto Super Cycle, Van Eck MVIS OTC Index

Markets can trend for years ride on hype, export markets of commodities are cornered by cartels that have the advantage of information of their own large OTC transactions. Whatever market you are in  just envision who the large exporters are and most likely they will be the people in control. The same goes for crypto, Bitcoin has had a supercycle since 2016 and now another 6-7 months consolidation as the market has seen before, OTC hype is strong amongst institutions interested in the trade, this goes as high as the governments investment funds. I believe we are in for the next crypto super cycle and we will see some interesting decentralized applications come out of this.
Powered by Markten & Economie